Ukraine War: This week, the focus of the Ukraine war has been on the battle for Mariupol. Russian troops are encircling the Ukrainian forces in the Azovstal steelworks, and the defending forces are fighting to the death. As the battle goes on, the country is facing a major humanitarian crisis as displaced persons continue to flee to safety in the surrounding areas. The plight of the people of Ukraine is also growing. Hopefully, the advancing Ukrainian forces will claw back some of their lost territory. Kurulus Osman
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
As tensions in Ukraine escalated in recent weeks, Russian forces have begun massing along the country’s borders. Former Soviet-era Ukraine declared independence in 1991, but recently forged closer ties with the US and Western Europe. The European Union said it would set up a joint investigation team to investigate war crimes committed in the conflict. But, it has yet to comment on the extent of the Russian forces’ involvement. In response, the United States announced $800 million in military aid to Ukraine.
The military wing of Russia’s invasion is one area where resistance is increasing. Many soldiers, particularly young men, are abandoning their posts. A lack of a mission or purpose may be one reason. Perhaps, they have family and cultural ties to the Ukrainian people. If this is the case, the Biden administration should keep an eye on the southern hemisphere as well. In the meantime, the war in Ukraine has raised questions about the future of American foreign policy.
The United States warned Russia in September that it would invade Ukraine. The United States cited growing Russian military presence near the Russian border and the fact that Russia ordered its troops to the separatist regions in Eastern Ukraine under the pretext of “peacekeeping.” In response, the United States and European countries placed sanctions on the Russian military and on the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline. The UN Security Council also issued a resolution demanding that Russia end its invasion of Ukraine.
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has been described as a war of choice by many observers. It is a premeditated, unprovoked aggression. The Nuremberg Tribunal has even called the conflict a war crime. The Russian campaign has reportedly targeted civilians and nuclear power plants. In fact, the US and EU allies are already discussing possible diplomatic solutions. There is no reason to wait any longer. It is time to stop the Russian invasion of Ukraine and reclaim our democracy.
The next step in the Ukrainian crisis is unclear, but the consequences of Russian aggression are immense. A lack of effective communication between the United States and Europe has undermined the efforts of the West to deter Russian aggression. However, despite the dire consequences of the conflict, the Russian invasion may be a necessary step in ensuring a lasting peace in Europe. The West needs to take action now to resolve the conflict. However, the only way to do that is by resolving the root causes and regaining control of the region.
There are numerous ways to evaluate the incompetence of Russia’s military in the Ukraine war. The initial operation was a colossal disaster that was based on political assumptions made in Moscow. It also assumed that nothing had changed in the country since 2014. It was the same plan that saw the Russian military first resort to a larger version of its 2014 operation. The Russians also began conducting thunder runs as they pounded Ukrainian cities, a tactic they should have avoided.
One of the most striking examples of the Russian military’s incompetence has been their failure to properly coordinate and plan their operations. The Russian military used army-level command equipment and assumed that operative manoeuvre groups would be led by army headquarters. In fact, Russian troops did not even use brigade commands – at least, not until the second phase. This mismanagement resulted in a halting Russian advance. In the process of advancing, Russian tanks had to improvise by commandeering diesel from civilian stores. This also meant that Russian soldiers had to forage for food and water, while special forces broke into shops and looted food.
This incompetence was exposed when the Russian military tried to brief the media on its operations in Ukraine. One infamous stalled convoy outside Kyiv has made the news and prompted rumours that Russian troops were looting grocery stores for food. Some experts blame corruption while others point to poor planning. While Moscow’s military planners must take some of the blame, the senior political leadership of the country must shoulder part of the blame as well. The original plan for the Russians to occupy key nodes in Ukraine within three days was based on unrealistic assumptions about the country’s military capabilities.
The White House is obviously smelling blood in the water. As a result, we are waging economic warfare to defend Ukraine and set in motion a regime change. While some people may think Biden’s remarks were a sign of righteous anger, they do not change the policy. In the end, Biden’s comments are irrelevant unless the U.S. and its allies make a difference.
Russia’s superior military might
If Putin wants to bring down a democratically elected government, he can use Russia’s military’s vast superiority in numbers and munitions to do it. The Russian military has the best-equipped army in the world and an arsenal of city-flattening munitions. However, Putin’s superior military might will make pacifying 44 million Ukrainians an uphill battle. Russia has a two-million-troop formal military reserve, while Ukraine has only 900,000 active-duty soldiers. And if Putin wants to overthrow Ukraine’s democratically elected government, he will inevitably double down on his military’s strength and commit even more resources to the conflict.
The Russians have the largest and most powerful armed forces in the world, but their performance in Ukraine has surprised many military analysts. They have stalled after some of their losses, while their gains in terms of military might have been halted. One senior military official said that the Russians have not yet accomplished their goals in the war. If they don’t, they aren’t likely to achieve them.
Although Ukraine has a large, modern army, it has far less military capability than Russia. Ukraine has two-hundred thousand active-duty troops and about thirty thousand reserve troops. The Ukrainian military consists of fewer than 6,000 fully-trained soldiers. While this is a substantial difference, it does not mean that the Ukrainian military is unable to defeat a powerful and well-equipped Russian army.
The Russian army has problems in executing complex operations and is unable to deploy its air force quickly enough. It was expected that the Russian air force would quickly gain air dominance in the conflict and support its ground forces and limit Ukrainian movement. However, the Ukraine air defence system has thwarted many of these Russian air operations. The Russian military’s logistical systems are equally poor. Despite their superior military might, Russia hasn’t been able to effectively capitalize on its superiority in the war in Ukraine.
The Russians’ military might is not capable of changing, and this may well be the reason why the Ukrainians are so resilient. In such a scenario, the Ukrainians may once again manage to fend off an invasion from Russia. If the Russian military can’t change its culture, they may well fall to Ukraine’s offensive strategy, and Russia will be left with no choice but to defend their country.
Ukraine’s ability to claw back territory
The resurgence of separatism in Eastern Europe has raised concerns about Ukraine’s ability to claw back territory after Russia’s invasion in 2014. In 2014, elite Russian troops seized the entire Crimean peninsula, despite the fact that Ukraine had relied on volunteer brigades of people with little or no military training. However, Ukrainian military commanders have said that they would never surrender to Russian troops, despite their resolute rhetoric.
While the Russian forces are currently on the offensive in Ukraine, they’ve only managed to make modest progress in eastern and southern areas. Meanwhile, U.S. and European officials have indicated that Ukrainian forces will go on the offensive this week, as their Russian counterparts have largely been pushed back by the inability to take control of the skies and logistical problems. Despite these problems, Ukrainian troops’ determination has spurred the world to expect a victory.
In a five-hour battle last week, Ukrainian soldiers drove past Russian forces, who had burned two tanks and destroyed several armoured personnel carriers. In a nearby field, a charred corpse of a Russian soldier lies in a field. The village was seized by Ukrainian forces after a fierce five-hour fight. According to two Ukrainian soldiers, the fighting was fierce. Both sides say they’re trying to secure territory, but that the Russians are helping to escalate the conflict.
The Russians have occupied Mariupol, a strategic port on the coast between Donbas and Crimea. Donbas has been under Russian control since 2014. But despite this, it’s not clear whether or not Putin’s forces are attempting to construct a land corridor connecting the two. Last week, Russian warships shelled the coastline of Ukraine and Odesa, which are considered to be strategic positions.
The Russians have repeatedly told Ukraine to withdraw its pitch for NATO membership and adopt a neutral status. Of course, any such deal would have to be contingent on the country meeting those conditions. In the meantime, the Russians have been telling the residents of the rebel-held town of Mariupol to leave. Russian forces have also opened humanitarian corridors, transporting tens of thousands of civilians to Russia. And that doesn’t mean the war is over.